MKT60

Market briefing: yields, currencies and inflation

A concise briefing using official US Treasury, ECB and Eurostat observations, with comparison dates and sources.

US 10Y yield up

5.29% +3.00 bp

Financing costs and the discount rate on future earnings.

Watch the next Treasury close.

US Treasury · 30 Sept 2026 ↗ · vs 29 Sept 2026

EUR / USD down

1.1298 -0.50 %

Currency exposure for imports and overseas earnings.

Watch the next ECB reference rate.

ECB · 1 Oct 2026 ↗ · vs 30 Sept 2026

Euro-area inflation up

3.20% +0.20 pp

Purchasing power and the backdrop for ECB policy.

Watch the next Eurostat inflation release.

Monthly context · Eurostat · Aug 2026 ↗ · vs Jul 2026

Morning Brief

US Treasury · 10Y: 5.29 % (2026-09-30), +3.00 bp versus 2026-09-29. Higher yields can increase financing and discount-rate pressure. EUR / USD: 1.1298 USD per EUR (2026-10-01), -0.50 % versus 2026-09-30. The euro buys fewer US dollars at the ECB reference rate. Euro area · inflation: 3.20 % YoY (2026-08; monthly context), +0.20 pp versus 2026-07. Annual inflation accelerated; this is monthly policy context. These are observations from different reporting periods, not established causes of today’s equity moves.

Latest changes and monthly context

↑

US Treasury · 10Y up

Daily observation · not a live quote

5.26 → 5.29 % (+3.00 bp)

Higher yields can increase financing and discount-rate pressure.

US Treasury · 30 Sept 2026 ↗ · vs 29 Sept 2026
↓

US Treasury · 2Y down

Daily observation · not a live quote

4.89 → 4.88 % (-1.00 bp)

Lower yields can ease financing and discount-rate pressure.

US Treasury · 30 Sept 2026 ↗ · vs 29 Sept 2026
↓

EUR / USD down

Daily observation · not a live quote

1.1355 → 1.1298 USD per EUR (-0.50 %)

The euro buys fewer US dollars at the ECB reference rate.

ECB · 1 Oct 2026 ↗ · vs 30 Sept 2026
↑

Euro area · inflation up

Monthly context · not a daily move

3.00 → 3.20 % YoY (+0.20 pp)

Annual inflation accelerated; this is monthly policy context.

Eurostat · Aug 2026 ↗ · vs Jul 2026